Archive for January, 2009

Will the euro survive the recession?

Friday, January 23rd, 2009

This is the first really serious recession that the euro has had to deal with and there are starting to be signs appearing that it’ll be the last.

The problem arose basically because the entry requirements for going into the euro were created with the political aim of getting as many countries into the euro as possible. Net effect of that is that countries never got around to getting the basics of the operation of their economy into line and that’s why we’re now seeing a number of countries getting into more serious trouble than they would do otherwise.

Ireland is perhaps the worst case of this as it was an economy very dependent on European grant money. Go down any new road up to a few years ago and there was a panorama of “x% supported by the European Regional Development Fund”. That was courtesy of its status as a deprived region up until a few years ago. Now the situation is that not only do the roads not get that European support but the Irish are effectively paying for the roads in Poland. Combine that with the global economic crisis and you’ve a big problem.

However, it’s not just Ireland that has problems. Greece is paying its bills by borrowing short term which is a very dangerous game. Italy is in little better shape. For the worst case you need to look at the former eastern bloc countries who went into the Exchange Rate Mechanism which is a pre-euro state: going directly from one of the softest currencies in the world to using one of the hardest is, to put it mildly, a major shock to the economic system.

Will the euro survive all this, or will we see some countries dropping out soon?

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On our way at last!

Thursday, January 22nd, 2009

By the time you read this we should be well on our way to the ferry.

Although we’re going on one of the longest routes this time going the whole way from France to Ireland in one go, it’s actually by far the cheapest ferry route for us. Not only is the ferry cheaper but we avoid a very long drive all the way up England and the hotel night that we’d have to add in as well.

In fact, the only downside with the route is that the ferry only goes once a week. It’s got quite a late departure time but that means a much more relaxed trip up to the port for us in place of the usual dash to get there for an afternoon sailing.

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We’re off

Thursday, January 22nd, 2009

By the time you read this we should finally be underway on our journey back to the UK.

Despite us having the luxury of being able to spread the packing out over a week or so we still found that we had an awful lot of stuff still to find a home in the car or trailer right up to the night before we left. In fact, we ended up postponing the last of the packing ’til the morning of our departure as so much of the final pile was all those little things that you don’t know what to do with.

Anyway, as I say, we should be off by now. In theory although it’s quite a long trip, it should be a fairly leisurely one as the 10 hours driving time will be spread over two days rather than crammed into one as many people do.

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