Foreign Perspectives

Archive for the ‘Banking’ Category

When we talk of recessions, by and large the only ones that anyone really knows about are the puny little ones that we’ve been getting in recent decades. You know the type: house prices stop going up as fast as they’d been rising or perhaps fall a little bit, interest rates go down and like magic we’re back on track in a couple of years.

This one seems somewhat different. Interest rates haven’t just dropped a little bit, they’ve actually been yanked down right around the world. House prices haven’t really fallen much if you look at the estate agent windows but they’re not selling at the current prices ie they should be a lot lower than the advertised price (hence the mild panic in many estate agents re job security at the moment).

Banks are even being told to ease up on their customers in terms of interest rates and repossessions. Actually, that’s something that they probably don’t need to be told as they genuinely don’t want to be lumbered with a whole lot of houses that they can’t sell: much better that people pay what they can of the mortgage than that the bank takes over the house and then gets stuck with something that they need to pay taxes on and maintain while getting no income from it.

However, it will get worse if this becomes the first real recession since the 1930s. That would mean not only falling house prices but falling prices generally which in turn means widespread unemployment. Back in the 1930s they tackled that unemployment through massive public works programmes but things have moved on a ways since then and I can’t really see people accepting make-work digging up roads and the like.

Depressing, isn’t it? It’s actually worse because of the unwinding of the government loans/investments in the banks around the world which will need to happen at some point as that means higher taxes all round which obviously wouldn’t help what could be a very fragile economy when they kick in.

Not so long ago I was joking that either Citibank or HSBC going bankrupt would be a really spectacular event as both are based in one country yet have the bulk of their interests overseas, so who would support them?

Well, it’s happened to Citibank now and it turns out that the American government figured that if they were allowed to go to the wall it would be just that little bit too spectacular to happen so they’ve bailed them out. One wonders how long it can be before we see if the UK government have a similar view of HSBC although that might be quite a while from now as HSBC management dumped the problem HFC quite some time ago and that’s where a lot of their high risk loans lay.

But when you’ve the situation of the largest banks in the world at risk like this it sounds to me that it’ll be quite some time before we get ourselves out of this particular financial mess.

If you’re selling property outside your home country it’s easy to fall into the trap of pricing it in the local currency and then forgetting about it.

That usually works fine if property sales in the foreign country move at a fairly brisk pace but often they move at a much more sedate pace than you are accustomed to. Whilst exchange rates between the major currencies rarely move quickly they do move and over a period of many months the price translated back into your home currency can change quite substantially.

For example, take a property that you wanted to sell for £60,000 at the start of 2007 and you therefore priced it at EUR 90,000 (£60,641). By the start of 2008 you could sell that property for EUR 85,000 and pick up £62,553. You might think that a year is a long time to have a property on sale but in many European markets property sales proceed at a very sedate pace and it’s not unusual to have a house for sale for quite an extended period before you find a buyer.

If you are counting in your home currency it can often pay to check whether or not you can lower the local price but still collect the same amount of money as obviously it can speed up the sale of the property.

It’s obviously impossible to name a single bank which you can choose simply because no single bank operates in every country of the world.

There are some general pointers as to how to go about choosing your bank though.

One school of thought is that you should choose the local bank with the most branches in the area which you’re moving to. That’s a reasonable approach in that for most countries there’s a charge to use ATMs that aren’t owned by your own bank so it may save you on ATM withdrawal fees. However, be wary of local banks that don’t operate internationally on a widespread basis or that don’t attract many foreign customers as you can come unstuck very easily through not having local banking practices explained to you. This even applies in many cases where banks operate English speaking branches: they might well speak English but often banking terms don’t translate well.

The other school of thought is that you should choose a bank based in your own country but with branches in your new country. This can work well in that the banking staff should be more familiar with the banking practices that you’re used to and sometimes offer good deals on money transfers to/from your home country. So, for example, if you’re American then the best choice is usually Citibank as that operates as a local bank in many countries yet retains an American feel in every location in which it operates and offers good deals on transfers between Citibank accounts in other countries. However, if you’re British, you might think that HSBC would be the way to go yet because it bills itself as “the world’s local bank” it tends to follow local banking practices more than British ones although it does offer transfers to your HSBC accounts in other countries.

Don’t forget that you don’t need to choose a single bank. One combination that works very well is a local bank with low charges and lots of branches combined with an international bank to handle your global transfers.

Post offices in many countries around the world offer a range of banking services these days, but are they really up to it?

Typically a small post office will have one counter to do everything. That works well when “everything” is mainly posting letters and parcels which take a few minutes to process.

Add on banking services and you’re into a whole different league in terms of the time that it takes to process a transaction though. For one thing, opening an account takes ages and delays everything. OK, it’s not something that happens every day but it happens fairly frequently: I spent getting on for an hour in a queue in a post office today which ended up snaking right round the available space and out the door because two people were opening accounts.

The problem really stems from the practice of governments to consider post offices in country villages to be a “good thing” and therefore worthy of support. That in turn leads to them being considered a job creation scheme so, of course, you wouldn’t want to add too much automation into them as then you wouldn’t create so many jobs. What automation that there is often is counter-productive: posting my three letters took nearly five minutes because the stamps had to be scanned in and destinations entered into the computer.

So, no, I don’t know that it’s really true to say that many post offices could be considered banks.