Foreign Perspectives

Archive for the ‘Politics’ Category

Stories like the 30k couple with 11 kids are appearing with increasing regularity in the press these days and, as usual, it’s collected the expected collection of comments expressing various degrees of indignation that these people feel that the state (ie us) should pay them to look after their kids full-time.

But, why would they bother to look for work if they were getting 30k coming in for doing nothing? Actually, it’s somewhat more than that as there’s the 15k to add on for the house and together that’s equivalent to a pre-tax salary of at least £60,000. Even with the best will in the world to find work, they’d need great qualifications to find a job paying anything like that level anywhere in the country. Thus, they can quite validly say to the benefits office that they are unable to find suitable work.

As most of these people say, it’s not their fault that they’re entitled to so much. Despite the comments that such cases always attract, they are quite correct once they’ve reached the situation of having double digit numbers of children. That’s not to say that it’s right that they should be entitled to so much though because it just isn’t. Where the benefits system falls down with people like this is that it’s designed for reasonable people who are expected to have the intention to behave in a reasonable way in regards to their family, looking for work, etc. Reasonable people don’t expect other people to pay for enormous families but there is no limitation in the rules that says “five is enough” or anything similar. Thus, in principle, you could have a family with, say, 20 kids pocketing over £100,000 and perhaps there is such a family out there.

How many would be “enough” children though? Would it be, say, three because that’s just over the average for the country? That seems a reasonable point to start reducing benefits for numbers above that. However, what do you do with someone like Miss Shepherd (the case mentioned above) who has had the children to three different fathers? You might think that would be difficult to deal with but it’s not really if you allocate the “reasonable number” of kids to each parent ie not “three per family” but “1 1/2 per parent” so you could quite easily allocate the allowances.

Whatever way such changes come in, as they surely must do, there are going to be screams from those benefiting from all that money now. It’s never going to be easy to get such people to change their attitudes because they’ve built up over such a long period but the “someone else can pay” attitude needs to get stamped out and soon.

The sleepy village of Rothbury has largely been cut off from the outside world for the last few days and now finds itself knee deep in TV crews this evening thanks to Raoul Moat being finally cornered in the village.

As you might expect the relief is clear within the village and behind the camera crews there seems to be very much a carnival atmosphere with the end game of this chase taking place just a few hundred yards beyond. That might seem unseemly to some but these people have essentially been confined to their houses and in fear of their lives for several days now so it’s very much a relief to be close to returning to the normality of their sleepy village once more.

The police negotiating team are hard at work. Some might ask why bother but it’s just natural for the police to try to avoid further bloodshed whenever they can. Thus the negotiator will be attempting to build up a sense of trust between them and Raoul through agreeing to simple things like providing him with something to eat and drink. What they’re building to is to get him to hand over his weapon of course but that will take time in what seems sure to be a tense situation so don’t expect major developments anytime soon.

What does seem a bit over the top is the sheer number of police officers and vehicles although that should be set against the growing numbers of press and bystanders rather than the lone gunman.

As we move towards the hours of darkness they’ll be keen to move all those bystanders a little further back. You might think that floodlighting the area would be the way to go but that’s likely to increase tension still further and is therefore something to be avoided.

In that it’s a lone gunman, the final stages shouldn’t be too many hours more. After all, he’s going to have to sleep at some stage. However, that very tiredness will make the negotiations that little bit more difficult especially as we’re dealing with someone who seemed set on suicide earlier.

When the news is largely boring as it often is in the summer months I sometimes flick over to Al Jazeera to see what they’ve to say about things.

Obviously it’s got more of an interest in middle eastern affairs so the mix of news is a bit different. However, for the most part the difference is more of a matter of depth of coverage much as CNN cover American news stories in more depth than the BBC do.

However, where it got more interesting was a week or so back when they were interviewing the boss of NASA.

Whereas most of us in the western world would consider NASA as a purely civilian outfit, the Al Jazeera interviewer seemed almost to consider it as a purely military outfit. Thus, he continually pressed Major General Bolden about the arms race in the 1960s that got America to the moon and about the military satellites which they launch and both of which Bolden evaded answering properly. Overall it seemed a very antagonistic interview.

The thing is though that although Bolden evaded both issues in fact were it not for the cold war in the 1960s it’s unlikely that America would have had the impetus to their space programme to go to the moon quite so quickly. The Sputnik flying unchallenged over American airspace certainly wasn’t appreciated when America had nothing similar at the time. Likewise, although NASA is a civilian organisation by and large, it does launch a number of military satellites and there seems little point in evading that issue. Indeed on their own website NASA are quite open about some of their military launches such as the GPS satellites.

It’s certainly interesting now and again to see just how different a viewpoint some in the Arab world have of what America gets up to.

By and large the UK regional governments have historically ploughed their own furrow largely in isolation from what’s been going on at the national level. Essentially they’ve aimed to make vote winning decisions as they’ve went along but that’s about to change in what looks like being quite a dramatic way.

Thus we have the national government saying that they will ring-fence health and, largely, education spending. A fine aim for sure, but both of those budgets are devolved to the regional governments which causes problems because those governments are financed by what’s called the block grant – essentially a big cheque to cover all of their bills.

The effect of this is that those block grants are what will be reduced (by anything from 25% to 40%) and it will be up to the regional governments to distribute those reductions amongst the areas within their responsibility. Taking Northern Ireland as an example we find that health and education take up around 60% of the total budget so if they are ringfenced by the regional government and the cut were 40% then all other departments would need to be closed down which is hardly a runner. Even at 25% that would mean a 60% cut in the other departments. Thus ringfencing health and education is hardly going to be possible, no matter how desirable it might be in principle.

I think it’s safe to say that we can expect some extremely difficult decisions from the regional governments in the coming months.

Prosperity for all is the aim but it’s going to be a long time before we get to that point as this budget is all about repairing the foundations of the economy that were so badly damaged by the previous Labour administration.

There’s a sensible capping of benefits almost across the board with probably the largest headlines to come from the cap on housing benefit. One suspects that the largest headlines to come will be from some of those in the million pound housing benefit mansions.

What it also cut was a whole raft of seemingly minor benefits which were introduced piecemeal over the course of the previous Labour administration. What all those different benefits largely did was to create a whole bureaucracy to administer them with little benefit for those who probably needed them most who never even knew they existed.

Increasing VAT to 20% after next Christmas is the single measure that paid for much of the changes. Notably this is a simple measure rather than the complex mix of additional tarifs that some recommended in terms of eliminating exemptions to childrens’ clothing or books.

With the announced substantial cuts in government spending there’s going to be something of a forced move from the public to the private sector for many. That’s going to need equally substantial retraining in many instances.

What this is intended to do overall is to get rid of what has become a crippling level of public debt in a remarkably short period of time. That rapid reduction meant a fairly harsh budget but one that should get us back on an even keel within the forseeable future.